Ukraine-Kursk

Okay , now there is probably a tendency in the media and elsewhere to overthink this particularly since no one saw it coming. In tennis we call it “Hit It Where They Ain’t”. It’s precisely what it sounds like.

For Ukraine it probably began with the observation that new Russian units are getting younger and younger on average , and that many of them are literally starving in the field. Of course this is partly due to Russian MOD’s propensity for destroying most of the local resources they come into contact with. Pretty clearly an intellectually impaired strategy at best and full on reflective of brain damage at worst. These observations, for an experienced and capable command , should begin a chain of calculations. If there is reasonable control of ground your adversary needs for supply chains and attacks are being launched from largely unsecured terrain (hello Kursk) within enemy borders…holy toledo what are you waiting for ? (and to be fair Ukraine has had to wait for far too many things). You can change the balance of outcomes more efficiently with operations within that territory.

So now these Russian military impairments are exposed for all the world to see. We are watching the well run dry in real time. The propaganda machine is grinding gears loudly and the truth is leaking out of the disinformation engine the kleptocracy normally uses to keep citizens in the dark. There is now more than one endgame for Ukraine. Will Russia have that moment of sanity and begin withdrawals ? Sanity, unfortunately for Russian governance, is also in short supply. That has been the case for quite some time now.

Debby-Ernesto

For those that follow the Killeans Row Mastodon feed I tracked and did some native input modeling for the Tropical Storm / briefly Hurricane Debby approach and transit of Florida thru August 6th , something we’ve been doing for local storms for many years from the days when Twitter was first a thing. Of course NOAA / NHC as well as all of NWS were all on there along with a legion of weather bugs. It was fun until well…if you know you know.

In case you’ve lost track after Debby left Florida the mayhem continued with flooding rains from Georgia all the way up thru Pennsylvania and into Southeastern Canada (and record rainfall in Montreal !). Here are some totals via Yale Climate Connections :

Florida: 18.86 inches, Parrish
South Carolina: 18.25 inches, 5.3 miles southeast of Summerville
Georgia: 14.82 inches, 1.4 miles east-southeast of Oliver
Maryland: 6.95 inches, 1 mile south of Damascus
New Jersey: 8.67 inches, 1.7 miles southeast of Pennington
North Carolina: 15.25 inches, Kings Grant
Delaware: 6.57 inches, 5.3 miles north of Newark
Virginia: 7.6 inches, 1.3 miles east-northeast of Afton
West Virginia: 5.98 inches, 12.8 miles south-southwest of Harpers Ferry
Pennsylvania: 5.39 inches, 5 miles north-northwest of Rainsburg

Yale Climate Connections has Jeff Masters and Bob Henson Eye On The Storm Coverage of these events. They are two of the best in the business and if your not following them you should be.

Ernesto is now a tropical storm and compared to the slow crawl of Debby is absolutely hauling a** at about 28 mph due West-Northwest towards the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. The storm has plenty of breathing room so Hurricane status is likely a given. Primary threat is still rainfall but a turn north later keeps the cone away from the East Coast. Bermuda unfortunately is still in the intensification track.

Harris-Walz

From here the Democrats handling of events post debate regarding Joe Biden were a quintessential public relations disaster. It naturally seemed like things would go from bad to worse. We were caught totally off guard when he made the announcement that he was dropping out and then once again when Harris-Walz came roaring out of the gate. The whole thing in its entirety has been a shocking lesson that predicting political outcomes can be a lot harder than predicting weather. Chastened we are. But also relieved at the very positive direction heading into November.

Notes On UAP Discussions

Most of this activity thus far has been with posts to the Mastodon feed. Rather than start at the beginning I’ll summarize what this is about: Events in 2017 triggered a rash of media coverage regarding the Nimitz and other battle group encounters with UAP that were recorded by fighter pilots, battle group radar and signals intelligence. To be clear it was improved systems performance and integration (including upgraded radar in fighters) that amounted to some of the first high fidelity multi messenger tracking and video of these objects released to the public. It’s not that UAP haven’t been on the radar for quite some time but rather that deployed technology has now crossed a threshold that makes certain kinds of verification less subject to noise.

So these things are real vehicles. That particular cat is out of the bag. It’s extremely unlikely that they are ours or belong to any known adversary. There is a lot more in the way of technical research interest now that the first stages of what some are calling initial disclosure are in the rear view mirror. It’s still hard for many to accept but no longer carries that stigmatized potential padded room crazy of a circus carnival coming through town. Researchers in astrophysics, aerospace engineering, aviation, materials science and many other areas understand now that related work is of serious import. The time has come for real work outside the confines of the military apparatus.

Perhaps more importantly there is already a surge of funding in the private and public domain for work that will not be subject to classification, clearance requirements, non disclosure agreements and the like. That means that the highly skilled people necessary to do this work are not going to be getting sucked into an abyss of silos never to be seen again. They can work and publish and share findings in the sheer light of day the way most researchers do. To get a taste of what all that means visit The Sol Foundation or watch their video posts on YouTube.

Intro To Psi And Computation

This post was previously hosted on the legacy site and later Blogspot in November 2016. There are some edits for clarity. Note that the psi of the title is still only speculatively related to the macro psi that humans have been recording in their experience for millenia. If we do in fact stabilize systems for quantum computation utilizing multiple methods and succeed in showing that quantum advantage can be achieved via more than one path we’ll be closer to having the tools we need to identify macro signatures “in the wild” . It will still be a nontrivial challenge. The idea that nature computes in the large and small is not accepted by everyone. Notions of computation in context here have to include biology and to be clear we are not invoking any kind of mechanistic or strictly materialist view on nature at all.

Introduction

The burden of proof for any unknown or anomalous physical phenomenology is usually met via record of observation. Whether or not there exists a strong theoretical foundation in place for guiding experimental probing is largely dependent upon the temporal development of technologies available for testing increasingly sophisticated ideas that build on what came before. We are at a rather unique crossroads for testing psi phenomena in that technology has made posing questions regarding esp , precognition and the like undifferentiable from problems in areas involving computation, engineering , physics and in my own particular neck of these woods prediction , analysis and signal processing. That is to say that these “problems” resemble many other things that constitute fundamental research in areas like quantum computation as well.

I am not a physicist. My own work involves analytic methods for signal detection in data when signals are poorly characterized and/or swamped by noise . In many cases this has required knowing the physics of the processes involved – the physics of the problem may be very well characterized but the means of data collection may be less than optimal or complicated by the presence of lots of noise in the form of things like…dust.

As a starting point I’d like to point out that once you accept the evidence for psi the consideration of models to test becomes paramount. The standard model of physics that represents our most up to date knowledge from the infinitesimal measure of the Planck length on up to cosmological scales is a fairly accommodating structure. The important thing is that we start somewhere that gives us the opportunity to avoid silly things like violating physical laws of energy conservation ,information and causality at the outset.

It’s easier to do that now than it was prior to contemporary theoretical work that encompasses multiple paths for putting quantum physics and relativity on the same page. Early on there were brilliant minds accelerating the development of the science with brilliant mathematics but at the time theories would produce lots of things that seemed nonsensical. Those particular solutions to the equations were ignored for a time as ‘nonphysical’ solutions or bothersome artifacts. In due course evidence for the reality of things like antimatter², black holes³ and associated gravitational waves⁴ would drive theorists into some very strange waters. But even they wouldn’t have seen strings and M-Theory coming. Proper branes were conspicuous in their absence.

So where does all this leave us ? Does the standard model⁵ Universe have what it takes to produce macro psi ? Obviously yes if you accept the evidence for macro psi . But that needs to be narrowed. Can purely classical physics give us everything we need or do we require relativistic frames and quantized fields to explain psi ? This is where things get really interesting. In one framework we have observations that describe causal anomalies . In another we have…engineering challenges !

In this sense throwing down the gauntlet requires a map. Our statement here merely serves notice of intent. Don’t feel frustrated if you find it interesting but want more background. There will be plenty of citation and annotation , links and media as we go. If your feeling the impulse to jump in with objections already feel free to do so but remember – this is the cover and not the book. The book is still being written.

With the discontinuation of military based research in areas of psi that were useful to intelligence gathering high level and ongoing technical discussions involving these phenomena are few and far between. Hopefully in the future we’ll have other researchers putting in a word or two regarding their own work and where they think things might be going.

References

1. This is a short list of peer-reviewed journal articles and books about psi phenomena. It includes articles of historical interest, general overviews, critical reviews, and descriptions of psi applications. These articles appeared in specialty journals as well as top-tier outlets, including Nature, Science, The Lancet, Proceedings of the IEEE, Psychological Bulletin, Foundations of Physics, Frontiers in Human Neuroscience,  and Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Thanks Dean Radin and associates

2. CERN note on Paul Dirac and antimatter , a timeline

3. A Brief History Of Black Holes original article by Jeremy Scnittman via astronomy.com

4. MIT News press release February 11 2016 on 1st Direct Detection of Gravitational Waves

5. The Institute Of Physics short page on the Standard Model